The Matchday 27 Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio will take place on March 2 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Lazio: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
AC Milan
Sergio Conceição's side suffered a 1-2 away defeat to Bologna in their last match. As a result, Milan has faced two consecutive losses in Serie A for the first time this season. The team has dropped to eighth place in the standings with 41 points. Notably, Milan has conceded only nine goals at home this Serie A season – only Napoli has conceded fewer (8).
- The team has not lost in 14 of their last 15 home matches in Serie A (7 wins, 7 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of the last 10 home games in the league.
- Milan has scored at most once in 8 of the last 10 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for AC Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alejandro Jimenez – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah – Alejandro Jimenez, João Félix, Rafael Leão.
Defenders Kyle Walker, Emerson Royal, and Alessandro Florenzi, along with midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek, will miss the game due to injuries.
Lazio
In the last round, Marco Baroni's side couldn't overcome Venezia away (0-0). Nonetheless, Lazio extended their unbeaten run in the league to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). However, the team failed to score for the first time in seven Serie A matches. In the standings, Lazio is fifth with 47 points, trailing the top four by two points. It's also worth noting that Lazio ranks third in goals scored this season (47), behind only two teams.
- The club has not lost in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches (6 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 8 of the last 10 away league matches.
- A maximum of three goals were scored in Lazio's last six away Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-2-3-1)
Christos Mandas – Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares, Mario Gila, Adam Marusic – Matteo Guendouzi, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru – Gustav Isaksen, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni – Tejani Noslin.
Defender Elseid Hysaj, midfielder Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, and forward Valentin Castellanos will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Gianluca Manganiello (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 18%.
AC Milan vs. Lazio: Match Prediction
This Serie A season, Milan has not been known for high-scoring games at home. In their last ten home league matches, they have exceeded one goal only twice and failed to score in three of those games. However, Milan's defense has been solid, conceding no more than one goal in 10 of their last 12 home Serie A matches, with seven clean sheets in that period.
Lazio has not always been confident away from home, often struggling creatively in this championship. In their last 14 away Serie A matches, Lazio has scored more than once only five times and has failed to score in three games. Meanwhile, in 8 of their last 10 away league matches, they have not allowed more than one goal.
I do not expect many goals in this encounter, so my prediction: Total under 3