The Matchday 38 clash in Serie A between Milan and Monza will take place on May 24 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Monza: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Milan
Sergio Conceicao's side was outplayed by Roma in their last away match (1-3). As a result, Milan's three-match winning streak in the league came to an end, and for the first time in 2025, they conceded more than two goals. In the standings, the team has 60 points and has dropped to ninth place, unable to climb above seventh. This means Milan will miss out on European competition for the first time since 2019. Notably, Milan has scored 59 goals this Serie A season, trailing only three clubs in this regard.
- The club has not lost in 11 of their last 13 home matches in Serie A (5 wins, 6 draws).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Milan's last 10 home league matches.
- Milan conceded exactly one or two goals in 9 of their last 10 home Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Milan (3-4-3)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Fikayo Tomori – Alejandro Jimenez, Tijjani Reijnders, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Yunus Musah – Joao Felix, Christian Pulisic, Santiago Gimenez.
Forward Samuel Chukwueze will miss the game due to injury. Forward Santiago Gimenez and head coach Sergio Conceicao are suspended.
Monza
In the last round, Alessandro Nesta's side suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Empoli. This marked Monza's 25th defeat in the current championship and their seventh in the last eight matches. Additionally, the team conceded at least three goals for the eighth time this Serie A season. The club has only 18 points and sits at the bottom of the table, 11 points adrift of the 19th spot. Notably, Monza has conceded 36 goals away from home this season, the most in the league.
- The team has lost 10 of their last 11 away matches in Serie A.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 12 of Monza's last 16 away league games.
- Monza conceded at least two goals in 9 of their last 11 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Monza (3-5-2)
Samuel Pizzignacchio – Thomas Palacios, Arvid Brorsson, Andrea Carboni – Samuele Birindelli, Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro, Alessandro Bianco, Kevin Dzeroli, Georgios Kyriakopoulos – Gianluca Caprari, Keita Balde.
Defenders Armando Izzo and Luca Caldirola, along with forwards Gianluca Caprari and Dany Mota, will miss the game due to injuries.
Referee
Daniele Rutella (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie B, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 70;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 23%.
Milan vs. Monza: Match Prediction
In the final match of the season, both teams can play freely without worrying about their standings. Nonetheless, Milan has had no issues with scoring at home: in their last ten home Serie A matches, they failed to breach the defense only against Atalanta, who conceded the fewest away goals this season. However, Milan's defense is not always error-free: during the same period, they kept a clean sheet only once.
Monza is a clear underdog and rarely achieves positive results, but the team strives to show their best in attack. Even away from home, Monza scores quite regularly: in their last 13 away Serie A matches, they netted ten goals. At the same time, their defense is lacking: in their last 14 away league encounters, Monza failed to keep a clean sheet.
I expect both teams to find the net in this match, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
