The Serie A Matchday 22 clash between AC Milan and Parma will take place on January 26 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Parma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Rosario Abisso (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 29%.
Predicted lineups for AC Milan vs. Parma
AC Milan (4-3-3): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Matteo Gabbia, Fikayo Tomori, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Ismael Bennacer – Yunus Musah, Tammy Abraham, Rafael Leao.
Parma (4-3-3): Zion Suzuki – Enrico Delprato, Alessandro Vogliacco, Lautaro Valenti, Emanuele Valeri – Simon Zomm, Hernani, Mandela Keita – Pontus Almqvist, Matteo Cancellieri, Valentin Mihaila.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
AC Milan
Sergio Conceicao's side suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Juventus in the last round. As a result, AC Milan lost for the first time in six league matches (2 wins, 3 draws). Additionally, the club failed to score for the fourth time this Serie A season. In the standings, Milan dropped to eighth place with 31 points. Notably, no team has conceded fewer home goals than AC Milan (6) in the current championship.
Defenders Malick Thiaw, Emerson Royal, and Alessandro Florenzi, midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and forward Samuel Chukwueze will miss the game due to injuries. Additionally, before this round, Milan signed defender Kyle Walker on loan.
- The club has not lost in 12 of their last 13 home matches in Serie A (5 wins, 7 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in 6 of their last 7 home league games.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of Milan's last 9 home matches in Serie A.
Parma
Fabio Pecchia's side drew 1-1 at home against Venezia in the last round. Parma has only one win in their last seven league matches (2 draws, 4 losses). However, the club has not conceded more than one goal in any of their last four Serie A games. With 20 points, they sit in 16th place, just one point above the relegation zone. Notably, no team in the bottom half has scored more than Parma (26) in the current championship.
Defender Botond Balogh, midfielder Adrian Bernabe, and forward Gabriel Charpentier will miss the game due to injuries. Additionally, before this round, the team signed forward Milan Djuric.
- The team has not won in 23 of their last 24 away matches in Serie A (10 draws, 13 losses).
- The club has scored a maximum of one goal in 6 of their last 8 away league games.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Parma's last 10 Serie A matches.
AC Milan vs. Parma: Match Prediction
AC Milan started this Serie A season strongly, showing high scoring prowess in home games. However, recently, goals have become harder to come by: in their last seven home matches in Serie A, the team only scored more than once against Empoli. Additionally, in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, the team has not scored more than two goals.
While Parma is not known for strong defensive play, they don't allow too much to their opponents. In ten away matches this season, the club has only conceded three or more goals twice, with just one goal conceded in their last two away games.
I don't think the home side's attack will pose too many problems for Parma's defense. My prediction: AC Milan Individual Total Under 2.5