Matchday 30 of Serie A between Napoli and Milan will take place on March 30 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Napoli vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side failed to overcome Venezia in their last outing (0-0). This result means Napoli have not won six of their last seven matches in the league (5 draws, 1 loss). However, for the first time in nine Serie A games, the club managed to keep a clean sheet. Napoli remain in second place in the standings with 61 points, but their gap to leaders Inter has increased to three points. Notably, Napoli boast the best defense in the current championship, having conceded just 23 goals.
- The team has not lost in their last six home Serie A matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has scored exactly one or two goals in their last six home league matches.
- Napoli have not conceded more than one goal in their last eight home Serie A games.
Projected lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno – Leonardo Spinazzola, Scott McTominay, Stanislav Lobotka, Billy Gilmour, Matteo Politano – Giacomo Raspadori, Romelu Lukaku.
Milan
In their last match, Sergio Conceicao's side defeated Como at home (2-1). As a result, Milan secured their second consecutive Serie A victory, coming from behind in both matches. Additionally, the club extended their scoring streak in the league to nine games. In the standings, Milan are in ninth place with 47 points but still have hopes of qualifying for the Champions League, trailing the top four by just six points.
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 6 of Milan's last 8 away Serie A matches.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Milan's last 9 away league matches.
- Milan have conceded in the second half in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A games.
Projected lineup for Milan (4-5-1)
Marco Sportiello – Kyle Walker, Matteo Gabbia, Malick Thiaw, Theo Hernandez – Warren Bondo, Yunus Musah, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao – Santiago Gimenez.
Defender Emerson Royal will not play due to injury. Midfielder Yunus Musah is suspended.
Referee
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 12 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Napoli vs. Milan: Match Prediction
At home, Napoli aim to play as aggressively as possible in attack and spend a lot of time on the opponent's half. This style of play allows the team to score regularly; in 14 home matches this Serie A season, Napoli failed to score only twice and netted at least two goals in half of those games. However, Antonio Conte's men make defensive errors, having failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four home league matches.
Milan, even on the road, play attacking football. In 14 away Serie A matches this season, the club failed to break down the opposition's defense only once, scoring at least two goals in six encounters. However, Milan often make mistakes at the back, achieving only three clean sheets away in the current championship. Moreover, Sergio Conceicao's team conceded exactly two goals in each of their last three away Serie A matches.
I expect a high-scoring encounter, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
