The Matchday 5 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League between Napoli (Italy) and Qarabag (Azerbaijan) will take place on November 25 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples. Napoli vs. Qarabag: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side played out a goalless draw with Eintracht at home in the last round. As a result, Napoli failed to win for the seventh time in their last nine Champions League matches (3 draws, 4 losses). Moreover, the club managed a clean sheet for only the third time in their previous 14 matches in this tournament. With four points, the team sits in 24th place in the overall stage standings.
- The club has avoided defeat in 18 of their last 19 home matches in the Champions League (11 wins, 7 draws).
- Both teams scored in 5 of Napoli's last 7 home matches in this European competition.
- Exactly 2 or 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Napoli's last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (4-3-3)
Vanja Milinković-Savić – Miguel Gutiérrez, Alessandro Buongiorno, Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo – Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Eljif Elmas – Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, David Neres.
Goalkeeper Alex Meret, midfielders André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, and Kevin De Bruyne, as well as forward Romelu Lukaku, will miss out due to injuries. Defender Leonardo Spinazzola might also be sidelined due to injury.
Qarabag
Gurban Gurbanov's side managed to take points off Chelsea in their last home encounter (2-2). Consequently, Qarabag has avoided defeat in 8 of their 10 matches in the current Champions League campaign (7 wins, 1 draw). However, the club conceded at least two goals for the fourth time in their last five matches in this European tournament. With seven points, the Azerbaijanis are in 15th place in the overall stage standings. Notably, the team has not won in their last six matches against Serie A teams in European competitions (1 draw, 5 losses).
- The club has won 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League.
- The team scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 10 away matches in this European competition.
- The Azerbaijanis conceded a maximum of two goals in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Qarabag (4-5-1)
Mateusz Kochalski – Behlul Mustafazade, Kevin Medina, Mateus Silva, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Marko Janković, Joni Montiel, Leandro Andrade, Pedro Bikallo, Richard Almeida – Camilo Duran.
It's worth noting that Qarabag has registered midfielder Joni Montiel for the Champions League in place of the long-term injured midfielder Kadi.
Match Prediction: Napoli vs. Qarabag
In this encounter, I expect both teams to play actively and effectively in attack. Napoli, although not always achieving the desired result at home, rarely fails to score: in their last 23 home matches in the Champions League, they have only failed to find the net once. Meanwhile, in their last 12 home matches in this European competition, the Italians have not kept a clean sheet.
Qarabag has been a pleasant surprise in this Champions League edition and is capable of showcasing their best in Naples. Primarily, the club is expected to deliver a strong attacking performance: in their last 13 away matches in the Champions League, the Azerbaijanis have only failed to score once. Moreover, they have scored at least twice in eight of these encounters. On the other hand, in 13 of their last 16 away matches in this European competition, Qarabag has not managed to keep a clean sheet.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
