The Matchday 14 Premier League clash between Newcastle and Liverpool will take place on December 4 at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne. Newcastle vs. Liverpool: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Matches – 5 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Newcastle vs. Liverpool
Newcastle (4-3-3): Nick Pope – Lewis Hall, Valentino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Dan Burn – Joseph Willock, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali – Anthony Gordon, Alexander Isak, Joelinton.
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Virgil van Dijk, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Andrew Robertson, Joe Gomez – Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch – Luis Diaz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Mohamed Salah – Cody Gakpo.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Newcastle
The club has failed to win in two consecutive Premier League matches. They suffered a home defeat to West Ham (0-2) and then drew away at Crystal Palace (1-1). It is noteworthy that Eddie Howe's side has secured only two victories in their last nine league matches (3 draws and 4 losses). As a result, Newcastle sits in 11th place, yet they are only 4 points behind the top four.
Forward Alexander Isak, along with defenders Emil Krafth and Sven Botman, will miss the game due to injuries.
- In 8 of their last 9 Premier League games, the club has not scored more than one goal.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of Newcastle's last 8 Premier League matches.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final scoreline in 11 of the team's last 13 league games.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side achieved a crucial victory both in terms of the standings and psychologically by defeating Manchester City 2-0 at home. This win further solidified their lead in the league, extending their gap over City to 11 points. Also noteworthy is that Liverpool has won 7 of their last 8 Premier League matches, with the other being a draw against Arsenal. Additionally, Liverpool boasts the best defense in the Premier League, having conceded only 8 goals.
Defenders Ibrahima Konate, Conor Bradley, and Kostas Tsimikas are sidelined due to injuries.
- The number "2" has appeared in the final scoreline in six of the club's previous Premier League matches.
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in 10 of Liverpool's last 14 league games.
- Liverpool has won the second half in their last five Premier League matches.
Newcastle vs. Liverpool: Match Prediction
The hosts have been highly inconsistent this season, leading to a significant loss of points. However, Eddie Howe's side can defeat any opponent at home, as Arsenal found out, losing 0-1. Meanwhile, the team has also lost at St. James' Park to Brighton (0-1) and West Ham (0-2). The hosts seem to perform better against top opponents, so I won't bet on a straightforward win for the visitors.
It's also highly likely that both teams will score. Newcastle has scored in 23 of their last 25 home league games, while also conceding in 12 of their last 16 home matches in the Premier League. Liverpool has an 8-match scoring streak away in the Premier League and has conceded in 8 of their last 12 away league games.
It's worth noting that Liverpool has not lost to this opponent in 15 consecutive league matches (11 wins and 4 draws). Both teams have scored in 8 of their last 11 head-to-head Premier League meetings.
My prediction – "Double chance for Liverpool and both teams to score – yes"