The Matchday 6 clash in the 2024/25 Europa League group stage between Porto (Portugal) and Midtjylland (Denmark) will take place on December 12 at the Estádio do Dragão. Porto vs. Midtjylland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Aleksandar Stavrev (North Macedonia)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Porto vs. Midtjylland
Porto (4-3-3): Diogo Costa – Francisco Moura, João Mário Lopes, Nehuén Pérez, Otávio – Stephen Eustáquio, Alan Varela, Nico González – Pepe Aquino, Samu Omorodion, Wanderson Galeno.
Midtjylland (4-3-3): Elias Olafsson – Kevin Mbabu, Ousmane Diakité, Mads Bech Sørensen, Erik Andersson – Victor Bak Jensen, Emiliano Martínez, Oliver Sørensen – Valdemar Andreasen, Adam Buksa, Mikkel Gogors.
Each team has listed the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament.
Porto
In the last round, Vítor Bruno's side shared the points with Anderlecht away (2-2). As a result, Porto failed to win for the seventh time in their last eight Europa League matches (4 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, the team has allowed opponents to score at least two goals in four group stage matches. Porto has five points and ranks 23rd in the standings. Notably, Porto has conceded the most goals among the clubs in the playoff zone (10).
Defender Iván Marcano will miss the game due to injury.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Europa League (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team has not scored more than two goals in 90 minutes in 12 of their last 14 home matches in this European competition.
- Both opponents scored in regular time in 11 of Porto's last 13 Europa League matches.
Midtjylland
Thomas Thomasberg's side lost 1-2 at home to Eintracht in the last round. As a result, Midtjylland suffered their second consecutive defeat in the Europa League, although they did not lose in the first three group stage matches (2 wins, 1 draw). With seven points, the club is still in the playoff zone, holding the 20th position in the standings.
Forward Dario Osorio will miss the game due to injury.
- The team has not won in regular time in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Europa League (3 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 6 of Midtjylland's last 8 away games in the Europa League.
- The Danes have conceded a maximum of two goals in regular time in their last eight away matches in this European competition.
Porto vs. Midtjylland: Match Prediction
At home, Porto regularly achieves positive results, but in recent years the team has won less frequently, and convincing victories have become rare. In only half of their last 14 home matches in the Europa League, Porto has been stronger than their opponents, and only once did they win by more than one goal. Moreover, since 2011, they have only secured one victory by at least two goals in this tournament.
The Danes find it challenging in away matches in European competitions, but the club strives to put up a fight against any opponent. In their last eight away games in the Europa League, Midtjylland has suffered only three defeats, and only one of those was by more than one goal. During this period, they drew with Sporting (1-1) and narrowly lost to Lazio (1-2).
I believe the visitors will put up a strong resistance and will not lose by more than one goal. My prediction: Midtjylland with a handicap (+1.5)
