The Matchday 7 clash in the 2024/25 Europa League group stage between Porto (Portugal) and Olympiacos (Greece) will take place on January 23 at the Estádio do Dragão. Porto vs. Olympiacos: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Clément Turpin (France)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 57%.
Predicted lineups for Porto vs. Olympiacos
Porto (4-4-2): Diogo Costa – Martin Fernandes, Nehuén Pérez, Otávio, Wanderson Galeno – Fábio Vieira, Stephen Eustáquio, Alan Varela, Pepe Aquino – Danny Loader, Samu Omorodion.
Olympiacos (4-5-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis – Rodinei, Panagiotis Retsos, Francisco Ortega, Lorenzo Pirola – Christos Mouzakitis, Santiago Hezze, Willian, Charalampos Kostoulas, Gelson Martins – Ayoub El Kaabi.
Each team's lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Porto
In the previous round, the team triumphed over Midtjylland at home (2-0). As a result, Porto secured only their second win in the group stage but managed to score at least two goals for the fifth time. In the standings, the Portuguese side has eight points and occupies 18th place. Notably, Porto has earned seven points in home matches in the group stage, trailing only two clubs in this regard. Regardless of the outcome of the next match, the club will retain its chances of reaching the playoffs.
Defender Iván Marcano and midfielder Alan Varela will not play due to injuries. Additionally, the club dismissed head coach Vítor Bruno before this round, with José Tavares taking over his duties.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 9 home matches in the Europa League (5 wins, 2 draws).
- Both opponents scored within 90 minutes in 6 of the last 9 home games in this European competition.
- The Portuguese side has scored at least two goals in regular time in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the Europa League.
Olympiacos
José Luis Mendilibar's team drew with Twente at home in the previous round (0-0). As a result, Olympiacos extended their unbeaten run in the Europa League to five matches (2 wins, 3 draws). Moreover, the club kept a clean sheet in four games during this stretch. However, the Greeks do not excel in scoring: only four clubs have scored fewer goals in the group stage than Olympiacos, who have netted just 5 goals. In the standings, the club sits in 15th place with nine points and will remain a playoff contender regardless of the upcoming match's outcome.
Midfielder Gelson Martins will not play due to injury. Midfielder Santiago Hezze is suspended.
- The team has not won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Europa League (2 draws, 3 losses).
- The club did not score within 90 minutes in 4 of their last 5 away games in this European competition.
- No more than two goals were scored in regular time in 7 of the last 10 away matches for the Greeks in the Europa League.
Porto vs. Olympiacos: Match Prediction
The home crowd often helps the Portuguese side feel confident on the pitch. Playing from a position of strength, Porto does not provide their opponents with many attacking opportunities. In their last 12 home matches in the Europa League, the team conceded more than one goal only three times, and in their last two home games, they kept a clean sheet.
Olympiacos cannot be considered a high-scoring team on the European stage, and the Greeks score very little away from home. In their last 16 away matches in the Europa League, the team scored more than one goal only twice, and in those instances, Olympiacos faced modest opponents – Čukarički and TSC Bačka Topola. Moreover, in their last five away matches in the Europa League, the Greeks scored just one goal in total.
I believe the Portuguese side will perform well defensively and not give their opponents many chances to score. My prediction: Olympiacos Individual Total Under 1