Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Europa League group stage will see Qarabag (Azerbaijan) face Lyon (France) on November 28 at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku. Qarabag vs. Lyon: prediction and statistics.
Referee: Nenad Minakovic (Serbia)
Matches – 6 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 0%.
Predicted lineups for Qarabag vs. Lyon
Qarabag (4-5-1): Mateusz Kochalski – Abbas Huseynov, Badavi Huseynov, Kevin Medina, Toral Bayramov – Patrick Andrade, Marko Jankovic, Aleksei Kashchuk, Abdellah Zoubir, Emmanuel Addai – Juninho.
Lyon (4-3-3): Remy Deschamps – Sael Kumbedi, Clinton Mata, Duje Caleta-Car, Abner – Tanner Tessmann, Warmed Omari, Maxence Caqueret – Said Benrahma, Georges Mikautadze, Gift Orban.
Each team’s starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Qarabag
The Azerbaijani club ended a streak of four consecutive Europa League defeats with a surprising 2-1 away victory against Bodo/Glimt in their last outing. This success lifted Qarabag off the bottom of the group stage standings to 29th place. However, the team has not managed a clean sheet in this competition for 12 matches, with a current goal difference of 3:9 in this season's campaign.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in Qarabag's last six Europa League matches.
- The team has not won at home in four matches in this tournament (1 draw, 3 losses), conceding at least twice in each of these games.
- The club has not scored more than once in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home Europa League matches.
Lyon
Lyon recorded their first draw of the group stage, sharing the spoils with Hoffenheim in a 2-2 stalemate in the previous round. Before that, they had registered 2 wins and 1 loss in the Europa League. With these results, Lyon sits in 9th place in the tournament standings, 5 points off the leader. Notably, the French side has scored twice as many goals as they have conceded (8:4). It's important to add that Lyon has consistently found the net in away Europa League matches for nine consecutive games.
Forwards Gift Orban and Wilfried Zaha are not included in the squad for this game.
- The team has avoided defeat in 12 of their last 14 Europa League matches, securing 8 victories.
- Lyon's unbeaten away streak in the Europa League stands at 9 matches (7 wins, 2 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Lyon's last 6 away Europa League encounters.
Qarabag vs. Lyon: Match Prediction
The club from Agdam pulled off a sensational victory against Bodo/Glimt in the last round, handing the Norwegians their first group stage defeat in the Europa League. However, defensive issues persist for the Azerbaijani team. I am confident that against a prolific opponent like Lyon, the hosts are unlikely to end their streak of conceding goals in the second-tier European competition.
Lyon ranks fourth among the most prolific teams in the Europa League group stage, having scored 8 times. On the road in this tournament, the French club has scored in nine consecutive matches. Moreover, in this season's Europa League, Lyon has scored at least 2 goals in both away games. Qarabag, meanwhile, has conceded at least twice in 7 of their last 8 Europa League matches.
Therefore, I believe the attacking visitors will score at least twice. My prediction: Lyon individual total over 1.5
