Matchday 19 in the Bundesliga between Leipzig and Bayer will take place on January 25 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted lineups for Leipzig vs. Bayer
Leipzig (3-4-3): Peter Gulacsi – Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Nicolas Seiwald – David Raum, Arthur Vermeeren, Kevin Kampl, Bote Baku – Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Xavi Simons.
Bayer (4-4-2): Lukáš Hrádecký – Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, Alejandro Grimaldo, Arthur – Florian Wirtz, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Martin Terrier – Patrik Schick, Nathan Tella.
Each team’s starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is indicated.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side disappointed their fans in the last round against Bochum: the team settled for a draw, squandering a three-goal lead (3-3). Leipzig has one win in their last four league matches (1 draw, 2 losses), but they have scored in every game during this stretch. In the standings, the team has dropped to fifth place, and among the European competition zone representatives, they have conceded the most goals – 27.
- At least three goals have been scored in Leipzig's last 5 Bundesliga matches.
- The club has not lost in 14 of their last 15 home games in the league (10 wins, 4 draws).
- There was a goal exchange in 4 of the last 5 home matches of the team in this tournament.
Bayer
Leverkusen secured their eighth consecutive league victory in the last round. Xabi Alonso's side had no trouble defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach (3-1) and remain the closest challengers to leaders Bayern Munich, trailing by 4 points. Bayer's impressive scoring form is noteworthy: the club has scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Leverkusen's last 9 league matches.
- The team is unbeaten in 25 away matches in the Bundesliga (19 wins, 6 draws).
- Bayer scored first in their last 7 matches in this tournament.
Leipzig vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
In the first round, the teams delighted spectators with a high-scoring affair. Leipzig defeated Leverkusen 3-2, ending Bayer's legendary unbeaten run. It will be challenging for the hosts to secure another victory, as Xabi Alonso's side is in excellent form, unbeaten in their last 16 Bundesliga games. However, I believe goals will once again be plentiful in this encounter.
Leipzig has the second-best record for clean sheets in the current league season. However, the club's defense looked solid at the start of the tournament, but now Marco Rose's side has only one clean sheet in their last 8 Bundesliga matches. In six of these matches, the team conceded at least two goals. In terms of xGA, Leipzig is fourth from the bottom. Nevertheless, the club's scoring streak in this tournament extends to 8 games.
In the last league campaign, Bayer conceded only 14 goals after 18 rounds. This season, that figure is 10 goals higher, and Leverkusen has kept a clean sheet in only three Bundesliga 2024/25 matches. However, the club's attack compensates for these shortcomings: the team is scoring at last season's level.
Considering these facts, my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals