Matchday 19 of the Bundesliga between Leipzig and Bayer will take place on January 25 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted lineups for Leipzig vs. Bayer
Leipzig (3-4-3): Peter Gulacsi – Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Nicolas Seiwald – David Raum, Arthur Vermeeren, Kevin Kampl, Bote Baku – Christoph Baumgartner, Antonio Nusa, Xavi Simons.
Bayer (4-4-2): Lukáš Hrádecký – Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, Alejandro Grimaldo, Arthur – Florian Wirtz, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Martin Terrier – Patrik Schick, Nathan Tella.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side disappointed their fans in the previous round against Bochum, drawing 3-3 after squandering a three-goal lead. Leipzig has only one win in their last four league matches (1 draw, 2 losses), but the team has managed to score in all those games. They have dropped to fifth place in the standings, with the highest number of goals conceded among the teams in European competition spots – 27.
- At least three goals have been scored in Leipzig's last five Bundesliga matches.
- The team has avoided defeat in 14 of their last 15 home league games (10 wins, 4 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Leipzig's last 5 home games in this tournament.
Bayer
Bayer Leverkusen secured their eighth consecutive league win in the last round. Xabi Alonso's men had no trouble defeating Gladbach 3-1, remaining Bayern's closest challengers, trailing by just four points. Bayer's impressive scoring record continues, with the team scoring at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Bayer's last 9 league matches.
- The team is unbeaten in 25 away Bundesliga games (19 wins, 6 draws).
- Bayer has scored first in their last 7 matches in this tournament.
Leipzig vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
In the first round, the teams thrilled spectators with a high-scoring affair, where Leipzig defeated Bayer 3-2, ending Bayer's legendary unbeaten run. It will be tough for the hosts to secure another victory, as Xabi Alonso's side is in excellent form and has not lost in their last 16 Bundesliga games. However, I expect goals to be plentiful once again in this encounter.
Leipzig has the second-best record for clean sheets this season. However, their defense was strong at the start of the tournament, but Marco Rose's team has only kept one clean sheet in their last 8 Bundesliga matches. In six of those games, they conceded at least two goals. In terms of xGA, Leipzig ranks fourth from the bottom. Nevertheless, the team's scoring streak in this tournament stands at 8 games.
Last season, Bayer conceded just 14 goals after 18 rounds. This time, they have allowed 10 more, keeping only three clean sheets in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. However, their attack compensates for these shortcomings, scoring at last season's level.
Considering these factors, my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
