The Matchday 21 clash in the Bundesliga between Leipzig and St. Pauli will take place on February 9 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. St. Pauli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side has become overly peaceful: the draw in the last round with Union (0-0) marked the team's third consecutive stalemate in the league. The club's winless streak in this tournament has now reached four matches. Notably, Leipzig kept a clean sheet for the first time in 7 previous Bundesliga encounters against the Berliners. In the main standings, the team has moved into the Champions League zone.
Midfielder Xaver Schlager will miss several weeks due to injury.
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of Leipzig's last 7 league matches.
- The team has not lost in 15 of their last 16 home Bundesliga games (10 wins, 5 draws).
- The club conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (3-5-2)
Peter Gulacsi – Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – David Raum, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Bote Baku, Xavi Simons – Lois Openda, Benjamin Sesko.
St. Pauli
Alexander Blessin's side shared the spoils at home with Augsburg (1-1) in the last round. The Hamburg team remains unbeaten for three matches in the league (2 wins, 1 draw), marking their longest unbeaten run in the Bundesliga 2024/25 season. In the league table, St. Pauli stayed in 13th place but extended their lead over the relegation zone to 9 points.
The team has defenders Manolis Saliakas, Lars Ritzka, and forward Morgan Guilavogui in the infirmary.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of Hamburg's last 7 league matches.
- The team has not drawn away in this league (4 wins, 6 losses).
- The number "2" appeared in the final score in 5 of St. Pauli's last 7 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Manolis Saliakas – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Morgan Guilavogui.
Referee
Florian Badstübner (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: Leipzig vs. St. Pauli
Marco Rose's side has stalled, yet Leipzig should secure points in the upcoming match. At home, the team shows excellent results, remaining unbeaten in 15 of their last 16 league matches (10 wins, 5 draws). Recently, the hosts have had issues in defense, but their upcoming opponent has scored only 18 goals in the Bundesliga 2024/25 season, a tally bettered by only two clubs, so Leipzig will not allow much at their goal.
The Hamburg team, on the other hand, is strong in defense. St. Pauli rarely concedes more than one goal and already has 7 clean sheets. In the first-round match, the team allowed nothing to Leipzig, who didn't even manage an xG of a goal. I think the visitors will try to play in a similar manner now.
My prediction: Leipzig will not lose and Total under 3.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
