The Matchday 14 Premier League clash between Southampton and Chelsea will take place on December 4 at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Tony Harrington (England)
Matches – 7 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 43%.
Predicted lineups for Southampton vs. Chelsea
Southampton (5-4-1): Joe Lumley – Yukinari Sugawara, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters, Jack Stephens, Ryan Manning – Mateusz Fernandes, Flynn Downes, Tyler Dibling, Adam Armstrong – Cameron Archer.
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez – Wesley Fofana, Levi Colwill, Marc Cucurella, Moises Caicedo – Romeo Lavia, Enzo Fernandez – Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Jadon Sancho – Nicolas Jackson.
Each team’s starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Southampton
Russell Martin's side remains at the bottom of the league table, trailing even their relegation zone neighbors by four points. Southampton has only one victory to their name, a 1-0 win over Everton. Since that match, the club has played three more league games, suffering defeats to Wolverhampton (0-2) and Liverpool (2-3), and drawing away with Brighton (2-2) in the last round. Alongside Everton, the team has scored the fewest goals in the Premier League 2024/25 season, with just 10 goals.
Due to suspension, defender Taylor Harwood-Bellis and midfielders Flynn Downes and Tyler Dibling will miss the game.
- In their last 13 Premier League matches, Southampton has scored more than one goal only twice.
- The team has conceded at least two goals in 9 of their last 13 home Premier League matches.
- In their last 10 home games, the club has lost only once in the first half (2 wins and 7 draws).
Chelsea
The Londoners thrashed Aston Villa 3-0 at home in the last round. This marks their third big win in the current league campaign and the first on their home turf. Chelsea is unbeaten in five consecutive Premier League matches, securing three wins and two draws. These results allow Chelsea to share second place in the standings with Arsenal. They trail Liverpool, who are confidently leading the Premier League, by nine points.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Chelsea's last 8 Premier League games.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in Chelsea's last seven league matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 6 of Chelsea's last 7 Premier League matches.
Southampton vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, I favor the visitors, as do the bookmakers, who offer low odds on a Chelsea victory. Enzo Maresca's side is already in second place (alongside the Gunners), having overtaken Manchester City, and is ready to chase Liverpool. Notably, Chelsea has lost only twice in their last 19 league matches – to Liverpool and City. The team easily handles underdogs and, if they drop points, it is usually against mid-table Premier League teams.
Southampton does not shine even at their home ground. In their last 13 home league matches, the club has lost 9 times, drawn three times, and only managed to beat Everton. Already this season, the team has lost at St. Mary's to Nottingham and Leicester. Meanwhile, Chelsea has won 6 of their last 8 away Premier League matches. Besides the current form of both opponents, Southampton's squad issues are also notable. In addition to three suspended players, Southampton will be without at least eight players due to injuries.
My prediction – Chelsea with a handicap (-1)
