The 10th round Premier League clash between Southampton and Everton is set to take place on November 2 at St. Mary's Stadium. Southampton vs. Everton: prediction and betting tips, odds, statistics.
Referee: Andy Madley (England)
Matches – 26 (EPL, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 100;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 3.9;
Straight red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalty kick percentage – 8%.
Projected lineups for the match Southampton vs. Everton
Southampton (5-4-1): Aaron Ramsdale – Jan Bednarek, Ryan Manning, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters, Jack Stephens – Flynn Downes, Adam Lallana, Mateusz Fernandes, Tyler Dibling – Cameron Archer.
Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford – Vitaliy Mykolenko, Ashley Young, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane – Idrissa Gueye, Abdoulaye Doucouré – Iliman Ndiaye, Jack Harrison, Dwight McNeil – Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Each team's lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
Southampton
Despite a valiant effort in their last round against Manchester City, Southampton still suffered a 0-1 defeat, conceding an early goal in the fifth minute. This marked their fourth consecutive loss in the league. Overall, Southampton has been without a win in the Premier League for 22 matches now (5 draws and 17 losses), placing them at the bottom of the table, five points adrift from the safety of the 17th spot.
Midfielder William Smallbone, goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu, and forward Ross Stewart will miss the match due to injuries.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 out of the last 7 of the club's EPL matches.
- The team has failed to score more than one goal in 17 out of their last 20 home league matches.
- Southampton has lost the second half in 8 of their last 9 home league matches, with one draw.
Everton
The Toffees avoided relegation to the Championship last season thanks to a 5-match unbeaten run at the end of the season (4 wins and 1 draw). Currently, the team is on a similar streak, albeit with only two victories and three draws. It's also worth noting that in their last three matches, Sean Dyche's men have conceded just one goal. Thanks to such performances, the club has significantly improved its league position, climbing to 16th place and distancing itself from the relegation zone by 5 points.
Forwards Youssef Chermiti and Armando Broja, as well as midfielders James Garner and Tim Iroegbunam, will be sidelined due to injuries. Winger Dwight McNeil's participation in the match is in doubt.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 12 out of the last 15 Everton Premier League games.
- The club has failed to score in the second half in their last seven away league matches.
- At least two goals have been scored in the first half in 6 out of the last 7 away league matches for Everton.
Southampton vs. Everton: Match Prediction
This matchup features approximately equal opponents in terms of class. It's difficult to favor one side, especially considering Southampton's lengthy 11-match unbeaten home streak in the EPL, while Everton has only one victory in their last 15 away league matches. Therefore, I believe it's better to focus on the potential for goals.
The Toffees have consistently struggled with converting their chances in recent years. The club rarely scores more than one goal, even at home. Away from home, in their last 15 Premier League matches, Everton has managed to score two goals only against Ipswich and Aston Villa. In the other games during this period, Dyche's men either scored one goal (7 times) or failed to find the net (6 times).
It is also worth considering the head-to-head encounters in the league. In the last 11 meetings at St. Mary's, Everton has scored more than one goal only three times. Therefore, my prediction is for "Everton Under 1.5 Goals" with odds of .
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