The Matchday 23 clash in the Premier League between Southampton and Newcastle will take place on January 25 at St Mary's Stadium. Southampton vs. Newcastle: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Sam Barrott (England)
Matches – 14 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 7%.
Predicted lineups for Southampton vs. Newcastle
Southampton (5-3-2): Aaron Ramsdale – Jan Bednarek, James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Kyle Walker-Peters, Yukinari Sugawara – Flynn Downes, Mateusz Fernandes, Joe Aribo – Adam Armstrong, Cameron Archer.
Newcastle (4-3-3): Martin Dubravka – Lewis Hall, Valentino Livramento, Sven Botman, Dan Burn – Joelinton, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali – Anthony Gordon, Alexander Isak, Jacob Murphy.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Southampton
The club suffered their 18th defeat of the current Premier League season in the last round. Playing away, Ivan Juric's side lost to Nottingham Forest (2-3). Notably, the team conceded three goals in the first half, but managed to score twice in the second half and had the opportunity to equalize. Southampton's losing streak is now five matches. The club remains at the bottom of the standings, trailing the safe 17th position by 10 points.
Midfielder Albert Gronbaek has been loaned from French club Rennes until the end of the season. Due to injuries, defender Jack Stephens and forwards Tyler Dibling and Ross Stewart are unavailable.
- The team has not won in 12 consecutive league matches (2 draws and 10 losses).
- Southampton has not scored more than 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 Premier League games.
- The club has lost the second half in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the Premier League.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side ended a six-match winning streak in the league, during which they conceded only one goal. In the last round, the team surprisingly lost heavily at home to Bournemouth, 1-4. As a result, the club dropped to 5th place in the standings, although they are just two points behind Chelsea, who now occupy 4th.
Forwards Harvey Barnes and Callum Wilson, as well as defender Jamaal Lascelles, will miss the match due to injuries.
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Newcastle's last 9 Premier League games.
- Newcastle scored two or more goals in 8 of their last 9 Premier League matches.
- Both teams scored in 11 of Newcastle's last 14 away league matches.
Southampton vs. Newcastle: Match Prediction
The upcoming match is likely to be exciting and high-scoring. Both teams are highly motivated in the standings and plan to attack throughout the match. Southampton needs points to move up from 20th place, while Newcastle is fighting for a spot in the Champions League zone.
In 4 of Southampton's last 5 home games in the Premier League, at least five goals were scored. Three or more goals have been scored in 21 of Newcastle's last 28 away league matches. Additionally, in head-to-head meetings, at least three goals were scored in 5 of the last 6 Premier League encounters, with both teams scoring in five of those games. I believe the hosts will not leave the pitch without scoring, and I expect even greater efficiency from the visitors, especially since Southampton has one of the worst defenses in the league, conceding 50 goals in 22 rounds.
My prediction: Total over 3 goals