The Matchday 22 encounter in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Freiburg will take place on February 15 at the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Augsburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
After a 0-2 away defeat to Leipzig in the last round, the Hamburg side saw their three-match unbeaten streak in the league come to an end (2 wins, 1 draw). Alexander Blessin's team failed to score for the 11th time in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. With just 18 goals, they have the worst offensive record in the tournament. In the overall standings, St. Pauli occupies 14th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 7 of St. Pauli's last 8 league matches.
- At home, the team has not won in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga games (3 draws, 5 losses).
- St. Pauli has failed to score in 7 of their last 10 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Siebe Van der Heyden – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Carlo Bouhalfa.
Defender Manolis Saliakas and forward Morgan Guilavogui are sidelined due to injury.
Freiburg
Julian Schuster's side secured 1-0 victories over Bochum and Heidenheim in their last two rounds. The team managed to bounce back after three consecutive Bundesliga defeats, and with six points gained, Freiburg climbed into the European competition zone in the league table. However, with 28 goals, they remain the least prolific among the top six clubs.
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Freiburg's last 8 league matches.
- The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament (2 draws, 5 losses).
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 5 of Freiburg's last 7 Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)
Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Eren Dinkci, Maximilian Eggestein, Nicolas Höfler, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Lucas Höler.
Referee
Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 10%.
St. Pauli vs. Freiburg: Match Prediction
In the last round, the Hamburg side conceded more than one goal for the first time in seven league matches. St. Pauli focuses on defense, which gives Alexander Blessin's team the second-best defensive record after Bayern Munich. However, they face significant issues in attack, exacerbated by the injury to top scorer Morgan Guilavogui. The forward has scored 5 of the team's 18 goals in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. Without the Guinean in the lineup, St. Pauli managed only an xG of 0.72 against a struggling Leipzig defense in the last round.
Freiburg managed to "dry up" St. Pauli's neighbors in the league table in the last two rounds. However, Julian Schuster's team only scored one goal against these underdogs. It's hard to expect a goal fest from a team with the lowest scoring record among the top half of the table. On the road, the club hasn't scored more than once in 9 Bundesliga matches.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
