The Matchday 7 clash in Group A at the 2025 Ice Hockey World Championship between Finland and Slovenia will take place on May 15 at the Avicii Arena in Stockholm. Finland vs. Slovenia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Finland
Finland suffered their first defeat at the World Championship, losing 1-2 to Sweden in the previous match. The only goal for Finland was scored by Harri Pesonen seven minutes before the end of the third period. Notably, the team was almost twice outshot by their opponents. Finland currently has five points and occupies the fourth spot in the standings.
- Finland has scored at least four goals in regular time in their last four head-to-head meetings at the World Championship.
- The team has not won in regulation time in 6 out of their last 8 World Championship matches (2 draws, 4 losses).
- At least seven goals have been scored in regular time in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head encounters at the World Championship.
Slovenia
The recent defeat to Latvia marked Slovenia's third consecutive loss in the current World Championship (2-5). Slovenia opened the scoring in the 23rd minute, but their second goal came when they were already trailing by two goals. After three matches in the World Championship, the team has not earned any points and sits at the bottom of Group A, with the lowest scoring record (3 goals).
- No more than four goals were scored in regular time in 5 of Slovenia's last 6 official matches.
- The team has not lost by more than three goals in 60 minutes in 5 of their last 6 official games.
- Slovenia has not scored more than one goal in regular time in 6 of their last 9 official matches.
Finland vs. Slovenia: Match Prediction
Against stronger opponents, Finland's weaknesses can be exposed, but they should not lose to Slovenia in the upcoming match. The teams are pursuing entirely different goals, so the only question is the margin by which Finland will win.
In the current World Championship, in 2 out of 3 instances, Slovenia's opponents defeated them by at least three goals. Finland has also won by a similar margin in 3 of their last 4 head-to-head meetings at the World Championship. While Finland's attacking play could be more convincing, given Slovenia's status as one of the most conceding teams in this World Championship, I expect a convincing victory from Finland in this match.
My prediction: Finland with a handicap (-2.5)