The Bundesliga Matchday 25 clash between Freiburg and Leipzig will take place on March 8 at the Europa-Park Stadium. Freiburg vs. Leipzig: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Freiburg
The team was the only one in the previous round unable to secure three points away from home. Additionally, the goalless draw with Augsburg ended Julian Schuster's side's four-match winning streak in the championship. However, Freiburg has not conceded in five consecutive Bundesliga matches, boasting a total of nine clean sheets, a feat only bettered by Leipzig (11) and Bayern Munich (12). In the league table, the team has dropped to fifth place.
- At home, Freiburg has won 5 of their last 6 league matches (1 loss).
- At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the club's last 11 home Bundesliga games.
- The team has scored against their upcoming opponent in 6 of the last 7 meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)
Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Merlin Röhl, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Lucas Höler.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Mainz in the last round. This loss was the team's first in their last 7 league matches (1 win, 5 draws). In the standings, the club remains in sixth place, but the gap to the Champions League zone has widened to 3 points. Notably, among the top half of the table, only Freiburg (34) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (38) have scored fewer goals than Leipzig (39).
- Marco Rose's team has not won in their last 5 away Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 2 losses).
- Leipzig has scored first in 13 matches this season.
- The team has defeated their upcoming opponent in their last 5 meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (3-5-2)
Péter Gulácsi – Lutsharel Geertruida, Willi Orbán, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – Amadou Haidara, David Raum, Bote Baku, Xavi Simons, Arthur Vermeeren – Lois Openda, Benjamin Šeško.
Midfielder Xaver Schlager and forward Antonio Nusa are unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: Freiburg vs. Leipzig
Freiburg has not defeated their upcoming opponent in the league since 2019. However, in the upcoming game, Julian Schuster's side has a good chance to grab some points. Leipzig's form is currently not at its best.
Marco Rose's team ended a 6-match unbeaten run in the last round, but they managed only one win during that stretch. Moreover, Leipzig has not won in 7 of their last 8 away league matches. Their only away victory was against relegation-battling Holstein Kiel. Freiburg, on the other hand, has lost only to Bayern Munich in their last 8 home Bundesliga matches (6 wins, 1 draw).
The match is unlikely to be high-scoring. Freiburg currently has the longest active clean sheet streak in the league. Julian Schuster's side has scored the fewest goals among the top six teams in the tournament. I believe the hosts will dictate the pace of the game.
My prediction: Freiburg not to lose and Total under 3.5 goals
