The Matchday 28 Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Holstein Kiel will take place on April 5 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Holstein Kiel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the last round, Bo Henriksen's side suffered a 1-3 away defeat to Borussia Dortmund, thus ending their six-match unbeaten run in the league (4 wins, 2 draws). However, the team managed to score in their sixth consecutive Bundesliga match, although for the first time in this stretch, they netted fewer than two goals. Notably, Mainz has conceded more than two goals only for the third time in this tournament. In the standings, the club has dropped to fourth place.
- In 4 of their last 5 home games in the league, the team has kept a clean sheet.
- Bo Henriksen's side has won 6 of their last 8 home Bundesliga matches (2 draws).
- The team has opened the scoring in 8 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (5-4-1)
Robin Zentner – Anthony Caci, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Silvan Widmer – Nadim Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung – Jonathan Burkardt.
Defender Dominik Kohr is suspended.
Holstein Kiel
Marcel Rapp's side suffered a 0-3 home defeat to Werder Bremen in the last round. This loss marked their 18th defeat in the current championship (4 wins, 5 draws), but only four of these were by a large margin. Additionally, their three-match scoring streak in the Bundesliga was halted against Bremen. In the league table, the club is in last place, trailing by 7 points from the safe 15th spot.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 12 of Holstein Kiel's last 14 league games.
- The team has lost 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Bundesliga (1 win, 1 draw).
- The club has scored in all their away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Holstein Kiel (4-4-2)
Thomas Dähne – Marco Komenda, David Zec, Nikolai Reimberg, Lasse Rosenboom – Phil Harres, Marko Ivezic, Magnus Knudsen, Finn Porath – Steven Skrzybski, Alexander Berdarsson.
Referee
Frank Willenborg (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 14%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Holstein Kiel
In the last round, Bo Henriksen's side ended their unbeaten run in the Bundesliga but continued their scoring streak. This season, Mainz has improved in attack, having already scored more goals than in the entire last championship. At home, the club has scored in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament, finding the net at least twice in 7 of those games.
Holstein Kiel's defense has been poor. Marcel Rapp's side has kept a clean sheet in only one of their last 18 league matches. In the other 17 matches, they have conceded at least two goals. Away in the Bundesliga 2024/25, the club concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Mainz thrashed Holstein Kiel 3-0 away in the first round. With the support of their fans, the hosts are capable of scoring at least two goals. My prediction: Mainz individual total over 1.5 goals
