The Serie A Matchday 33 encounter between AC Milan and Atalanta will take place on April 20 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
AC Milan
Sergio Conceicao's side triumphed 4-0 away against Udinese in their last round. This victory marked AC Milan's first win in three Serie A matches following a defeat to Napoli (1-2) and a draw with Fiorentina (2-2). Additionally, the team ended a run of seven matches conceding goals in the league. In the standings, the club has 51 points and is in ninth place. Notably, Milan has conceded only 14 goals at home this Serie A season – only Napoli (11) and Torino (13) have better records.
- The club has not lost in 10 of their last 11 home matches in Serie A (4 wins, 6 draws).
- Both teams scored in 7 of AC Milan's last 8 home league matches.
- Milan scored exactly one or two goals in 7 of their last 8 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for AC Milan (4-5-1)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez – Alejandro Jimenez, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao – Luka Jovic.
Defenders Kyle Walker and Emerson Royal, along with midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek, will miss the match due to injuries.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side defeated Bologna 2-0 at home in the previous round. As a result, Atalanta ended a three-game losing streak in the league. Additionally, the team scored for the first time in four previous Serie A matches. The Bergamo side remains in third place in the standings, having collected 61 points. Noteworthy is the club's high scoring ability: with 65 goals in the current championship, Atalanta is second only to Inter (72) in this regard. Also, the team has been impressive on the road, leading the league in away points this Serie A season (33).
- The team has not lost in 12 of their last 13 away Serie A matches (9 wins, 3 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of Atalanta's last 9 away league games.
- Atalanta has not conceded more than one goal in their last 13 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenco, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman.
Defenders Sead Kolasinac and Giorgio Scalvini, midfielder Charles De Ketelaere, and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 23%.
Match Prediction: AC Milan vs. Atalanta
Recent home matches have been challenging for AC Milan, as the team has faced difficulties against opponents of varying levels. In their last nine home league matches, Milan has secured only three victories, and in each case, the performances were not convincing, despite facing teams like Parma (3-2), Verona (1-0), and Como (2-1). Furthermore, Milan dropped points against Genoa (0-0) and Cagliari (1-1) during this stretch.
Atalanta, on the other hand, has been strong on the road this season, often achieving maximum results. In their last 12 away Serie A matches, Gian Piero Gasperini's team has registered nine victories, including emphatic wins over Napoli (3-0) and Juventus (4-0). During this period, they suffered only one loss, failing to secure points against Fiorentina (0-1).
I expect the visitors to compete for a positive result in this match. My prediction: Atalanta with a handicap (0)
