The Matchday 31 Serie A clash between Milan and Fiorentina will take place on April 5 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Milan
In the previous round, Sergio Conceicao's team suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Napoli. This marks Milan's fourth loss in their last six Serie A matches. However, the club has extended its scoring streak in the league to ten matches. In the standings, the team is ninth with 47 points. Notably, Milan has conceded only 12 goals at home this Serie A season – only Napoli has a better record (11).
- The club has not lost in 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches (4 wins, 5 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 home league games.
- Exactly two goals were scored in 5 of Milan's last 7 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Milan (4-5-1)
Mike Maignan – Kyle Walker, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez – Warren Bondo, Youssouf Fofana, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Joao Felix – Tammy Abraham.
Defender Emerson Royal will not play due to injury.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side defeated Atalanta 1-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Fiorentina secured their third win in four league matches, each time keeping a clean sheet. However, in their last seven Serie A games, the club has only once scored more than one goal. Fiorentina has 51 points, placing them eighth in the standings, but they are only five points away from the top four.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 away Serie A matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 away league matches.
- Fiorentina scored exactly one or two goals in 8 of their last 10 away Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David de Gea – Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Danilo Cataldi, Rolando Mandragora, Fabiano Parisi – Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.
Defender Edoardo Bove is injured.
Referee
Giovanni Ayroldi (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.5;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 50%.
Milan vs. Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Milan feels confident at home and strives to please their fans with an attacking style. As a result, the team rarely finishes matches without scoring: in 26 of their last 29 home league games, Milan players have found the net. However, their defense is not as strong: in the last seven home Serie A matches, Milan has kept a clean sheet only once.
Fiorentina operates in a similar style, even in away games, focusing on creating opportunities. In their last 11 away league matches, Fiorentina failed to break down the opponent's defense only twice, scoring twice against both Lazio and Juventus. However, the team also makes defensive errors: in their last seven away Serie A games, Fiorentina has not kept a clean sheet.
I expect a high-scoring game with both teams finding the net. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
