The Matchday 30 Bundesliga clash between Leipzig and Holstein Kiel will take place on April 19 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Holstein Kiel: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leipzig
The team secured their second win under the guidance of Zsolt Lőw. However, in the match against Wolfsburg, his side almost squandered a three-goal lead, but ultimately prevented their opponent from leveling the score – 3:2. Notably, Leipzig has conceded in three consecutive Bundesliga matches, yet the club still leads the league in clean sheets with 13. In the main standings, the team has climbed to 4th place.
- At home, Leipzig has scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Leipzig's last 9 home Bundesliga matches.
- The team has not lost in 7 of their last 8 home games in this tournament (5 wins, 2 draws).
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (4-4-2)
Peter Gulacsi – Lukas Klostermann, Kosta Nedelkovic, Castello Lukeba, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – Bote Baku, Arthur Vermeeren, Nicolas Seiwald, Xavi Simons – Lois Openda, Benjamin Sesko.
Defender Benjamin Henrichs and midfielder Xaver Schlager are injured. Midfielder Xavi Simons is suspended.
Holstein Kiel
The team lost at home to St. Pauli in the last round, suffering their 19th defeat in the current championship (4 wins, 6 draws). Marcel Rapp's side is winless in six Bundesliga matches, but they have scored in five of those games. The club is at the bottom of the standings, with an 11-point gap from the safe 15th spot.
- In 12 of their last 14 Bundesliga matches, the team has conceded at least two goals.
- Holstein Kiel has lost 8 of their last 11 away league matches (1 win, 2 draws).
- The club has scored in 14 consecutive away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Holstein Kiel (4-4-2)
Thomas Dähne – Marco Komenda, Timo Becker, Lasse Rosenbom, John Tolkin – Nikolai Remberg, Marco Ivezic, Magnus Knudsen, Armin Gigovic – Suto Machino, Alexander Berndsson.
Referee
Felix Brych (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Leipzig vs. Holstein Kiel: Match Prediction
A defeat in the upcoming game could end Marcel Rapp's side's theoretical chances of reaching the safe 15th spot. Holstein Kiel has no choice but to push forward and strive for victory. However, the team faced a similar task in the last round, resulting in a loss to a direct survival rival. St. Pauli, the league's lowest-scoring side, managed to score twice against Holstein Kiel. In total, Marcel Rapp's side has conceded 70 goals, with almost half of them coming in away matches.
In two matches since the managerial change, Leipzig has scored 6 goals. If the team maintains this pace, they should have no trouble breaking down the most vulnerable defense in the league. Additionally, the club has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 8 home Bundesliga games. In the first round, Leipzig defeated Holstein Kiel 2-0. I believe the hosts will at least match that level of scoring. My prediction: Leipzig individual total over 2
* The lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
